Let's say that we decided to "chase" a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals. Generally, we would be "chasing" the Nationals because we know that they're going to be underdogs for all three games.
It is possible to "chase" the favorite in a series, but the math is more complicated. The goal here is one win out of the Nationals in the three games that these teams are going to play.
That's all we need: It's called a "chase" because you're chasing one victory. And because Washington will be getting plus-money as a dog in each contest we're guaranteed a profit as long as we price our bets properly. But here's where the chase gets interesting: In theory, this is a solid betting strategy that requires the cool of Sinatra and the discipline of the Ayatollah.
Baseball is tailor made for this type of betting because of the length of series and frequency of games each week. Even the worst teams in the league win 60 games a. If you can add some filters and anticipate series where the inferior team can manage to avoid getting swept then you stand to make a healthy profit. However, there aren't too many bettors I know that aim to win just 40 percent of their wagers. Obviously, the Sweep is the mortal enemy of the series chase. At the All-Star break roughly 10 percent of all series ended with one team failing to win a single game.
It's not much, but over the course of a season it all adds up. If a Sweep is the archrival of chase betting than Game 1 wins are its soul mate.
Game 3 wins are the next best thing from a mathematical standpoint if not a psychological one. I know, I know: But the bottom line is that if you find a series where one team will be an underdog for all three games and they are playing a shaky team that's bound to have one weak performance then it's a solid strategy. Teams like the Yankees and Cubs, for example, are frequently overvalued yet don't produce sweeps at a rate beyond the norm for Major League teams. Clubs like the Indians and Brewers aren't great fielding squads or have leaky bullpens, which makes them susceptible to getting upset once or twice.
Conversely, don't feel like you only have to chase bottom feeders like Washington and Kansas City because they're the only clubs guaranteed to be dogs for three straight in a majority of their series.
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All forum topics Previous Topic Next Topic. The worst thing that can happen is they close the card, right? They wouldnt close my checking and savings too would they? Message 11 of No, not a big deal. Chases is going to be concerned these are fraudulent charges, they aren't. Message 12 of VegasKyle, you just made my day. Take the Cardinals tonight and the Redskins on Sunday. Message 13 of Is the fantasy football thing a good thing to say?
Message 14 of Redskins, man this one will be tough. Message 15 of I agree Stiga, but I cant lay 27 pts. Message 16 of I don't ever intend to use my CC to deposit in my online sportsbook ever again.
Message 17 of I hope we aren't discussing odds on the forum? Just a reminder, we must adhere to the TOS. Discussion of illegal activities is a no no.
Message 18 of