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Luckily, the wait is almost over: I will be one of those people telling you to make that pick. Jay Wright should have another top contender on his hands next season. Neil Greenberg The Washington Post. Check out my past College Basketball picks

March Madness: 2018 Sweet 16 and Elite Eight Picks

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Remember, because of the relatively-low value of their twelve seed, the point spreads hover around Understanding that the difference in talent between the teams in various NCAA conferences is shrinking. The single-elimination layout of March Madness means parity is the name of the game. Take advantage of that parity early, while point spreads are still wide. Teams playing well into the third round are, in fact, likely to keep playing well, almost regardless of seeding.

The opposite is also true — a traditionally-strong team from a strong conference that barely squeaked into the Sweet 16 is likely to old. In that sense, parity becomes less powerful a handicapping tool starting at the third round.

The NCAA Tournament takes place pretty much anywhere BUT at home, so teams that dominate at home may look entirely different after their soft early-round opponents.

Once March Madness gets down to just four teams and three remaining games , fewer and fewer opportunities for advantage gambling exist. It just plain gets harder to find a soft line when there are so few to handicap. That said, it is possible to find a favorable line if you have the patience and the ability to shop at a variety of sportsbooks immediately after the lines appear, when variance is most likely to exist. Doing research and looking at stats is just as important in these final games as in any other sports betting contest.

Some handicappers become armchair philosophers at Final Four time, analyzing team chemistry, body language, and attitude to see what direction those intangibles indicate the teams are headed in. This is especially true for the modern Tournament. This, combined with the fact that so much more of the action that happens during the final three Championship games of the tournament is from amateurs and sharps, scares away some serious sports bettors, even pros.

The NBA stars of tomorrow duking it out, often in combinations that are rarely if ever seen. Pace yourself, pay attention to the twelve seeds early on, and do your homework. After all, this is supposed to be fun, right? Vegas Odds There was a day when the only place you could bet on a sporting event was Las Vegas.

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