May the odds be ever in your favor: Vegas sets over/unders for 2018 MLB season
That will be the default line for the bets listed below, but a few bets will have juice weighted toward one side of the line or the other. The Patriots, for example, were listed as even money over You won't be surprised with where we start or end. The Browns' total for was 4. Why would they go up again at 4.
Sheer regression toward the mean. Most teams as bad as the Browns -- although clearly not all -- bounce back some after seasons as bad as the one we saw from Cleveland in The Browns will almost surely make an upgrade at quarterback this offseason, including the possibility of acquiring a veteran and drafting a passer with the first overall pick.
I suspect this one would still probably require some juice on the under. The Jets eventually fell all the way to a 3. Gang Green exceeded expectations, but their quarterback situation still consists of Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg , whose existence the Jets actively disavow. Unless the Jets make a major upgrade under center, they're still going to have one of the league's worst projections. A bet on the Colts is a bet for or against Andrew Luck , who seems no nearer a return than he did at this time last year.
If the rumors are true and Indy brings in Josh McDaniels, they'll be gaining a coach with a brilliant offensive mind; but years of bad drafts have left the Colts a ways away from competing in a suddenly difficult AFC South. Concrete news on Luck would shift this line by a win in either direction. The most popular organizations in the league -- teams such as the Cowboys, Giants and Steelers -- often will have inflated totals in Vegas because the books know that their fans are more likely to bet the over.
If the Giants had the same talent but wore the Bills' uniforms, they would hit the board at 5. Big Blue only posted 4. If new general manager Dave Gettleman uses the second overall pick on a passer, the Giants will probably be using to rebuild and retool. The Bucs underachieved in , in part because they went in games decided by a touchdown or less, including four such losses to playoff teams.
Numbers suggest the Bucs should improve, but it's difficult to see a high ceiling for Tampa Bay when it is bringing back frustrating coach Dirk Koetter and is still stuck in a division with three stacked teams in Atlanta, Carolina and New Orleans. A healthy season from Jameis Winston -- who posted the league's seventh-best passer rating after returning from injury in Week 13 -- would help.
The Bears will be a sleeper pick in plenty of places, and indeed, people who didn't catch onto the Rams until it was too late will look at Chicago as the team most similarly constructed to Los Angeles. It could very easily work out that way, but it would be aggressive to look at Jared Goff , a quarterback who was a mess in Year 1 and a franchise quarterback in Year 2, and assume Mitchell Trubisky will make the same sort of drastic strides forward in his sophomore campaign.
Most teams that go in their division improve the following season, but the Bears will still be up against the NFC North.
This one would go up with juice on the over. It's almost impossible to project the Cardinals, given that they don't have a head coach or an obvious choice at quarterback. If general manager Steve Keim opts to go for a veteran and trades for Alex Smith , this number will be higher, even if the Cardinals performed far worse than their record this past season.
And likewise, if Arizona settles for a stopgap such as Josh McCown and drafts a quarterback 15th overall, this number might fall below six in a division that already has three franchise quarterbacks. Everyone suspects the Broncos are going to make an addition at quarterback, but it's not yet clear whether their decision will dramatically move the needle.
The Broncos' defense hasn't declined as much as the raw totals suggest; it fell from fourth to 22nd in points allowed but was still the 10th-best defense by DVOA after leading the league in But Denver could cut Aqib Talib. And it is feeling the effects of what look to be middling drafts in and You suspect the Dolphins might want to chalk up as a lost season after Ryan Tannehill went down with a torn ACL in preseason, but their 28th-ranked defense by DVOA is a bigger concern.
Miami likely will hit the free-agent market yet again to try to plug holes, even if it means moving on from Jarvis Landry and cutting Ndamukong Suh , who might have worn out his welcome. Questionable contracts from years past might prevent Miami from importing as much new talent as it might like. Arguably the most injury-hit team in football, Jay Gruden's team will hope to get more games -- if not full seasons -- out of impact contributors such as Chris Thompson , Jordan Reed and Trent Williams in Of course, Washington might be coming back with a totally different team, given that it could move on from Kirk Cousins and cut cornerback Josh Norman , which would slice its most expensive offensive and defensive players off the roster.
This total assumes both players stay while Washington allows Bashaud Breeland and Zach Brown to leave in free agency, but much is up in the air. While the Bills shocked the world and made it to the playoffs at , their Pythagorean expectation was for a 6. If they decide to turn the quarterback position over to Nathan Peterman , seven wins might be a tall order.
My best guess is that the Bills will use their two first-round picks to trade up and grab a passer; but unless the incoming signal-caller plays like a superstar and props up the rest of the team, Sean McDermott's squad might take a step backward before it takes a step forward. Cincinnati's motto for might as well be "Run It Back," given that it re-signed coach Marvin Lewis and will return most of its starters from Most teams would look at how badly they got their offensive line choices wrong and go into free agency to try to invest in replacements.
But with the Bengals treating the market as if it were lava, Cincinnati is going to have to hope for a healthier season and further development from would-be contributors such as Cedric Ogbuehi and John Ross. The second-most difficult number on this board was Oakland. Do you believe in Jon Gruden and a talented core that went as recently as ? Or do you see a Raiders team that went with the Pythagorean expectation of a 6.
I'd put heavy juice on the over, because it's hardly out of the question that Gruden turns the offense around quickly, but defensive struggles might hold back the Raiders in a difficult AFC West. And this was the toughest number to peg, if only because the Niners looked like a totally different animal while going under Jimmy Garoppolo. The Braves are at home, where they have lost eight of their last Sean Newcomb made 31 pitches in the first and allowed five runs and six hits in three innings.
Newcomb has lost three of four home starts since coming within one strike of a no-hitter against the Los Angeles Dodgers in Atlanta on July 29, and he has an Washington built a lead in the first when Harper hit his 34th homer and Ryan Zimmerman's grounded into a run-scoring forceout. Rendon hit his 20th homer in the third to make it ; he has reached safely in 25 straight games. Soto singled in the first to extend his on-base streak to 21 straight games, tying Mickey Mantle in for the second-longest by a teenager behind Mel Ott's 22 in Atlanta closed to on two-run homers by Tyler Flowers in the fourth and by Charlie Culberson in the eighth against Greg Holland.
Rendon dove to field a grounder at third in the fifth and jumped to throw off one leg to get pinch-hitter Preston Tucker at first. Late in the inning, center fielder Victor Robles ran hard to his left and chase down Ozzie Albies' liner at the wall. Braves 3B Johan Camargo missed his fourth straight game with left groin tightness. Atlanta RHP Arodys Vizcaino was not available after pitching a scoreless ninth inning Saturday, the former closer's first appearance after he missed 55 games with right shoulder inflammation.
RHP Erick Fedde , 5. Richards R , 4. Louis at Atlanta, 7: Mikolas R , 2. Foltynewicz R , 2. DeSclafani R , 4. Miley L , 2. Glasnow R , 4. Sampson R , 5. LeBlanc L , 3. Valdez L , 2. Hendricks R , 3. Corbin L , 3. Gray R , 4. Ryu L , 2.