Saturday, 17 March
Winning over a top attacking team in the Blues was a quality win and they will welcome the Reds with open arms this week. The Reds have exceeded expectations so far, with wins coming in the last two weeks over the Bulls and Jaguares but travelling to South Africa is another test. The Jaguares were extremely disappointing last week when losing to the Reds and scoring only seven points was a dismal effort.
A more polished performance is needed this week as they prepare for the Lions, which are also coming off a sub-par but albeit winning performance. The Lions scrapped past the Sunwolves by two points and the positive out of the game was that the Lions scored 40 points.
Once again, all odds are with Sportsbet — our No. Get FREE betting tips! The Waratahs were extremely poor against the Brumbies last weekend and they have now recorded three defeats on the trot. Their record as away favourites continues to be a positive though and they have won their past three games in this scenario, while they are against the line.
The Rebels produced easily their best performance of the season last weekend against the Chiefs, but they still fell away badly in the final stages of the game. Winning as underdogs has proven to be a difficult task for the Rebels and they have not done it at home for the past 12 months, while they are an extremely poor against the line as home underdogs. The Waratahs have the talent to bounce back on Friday night and can cover the line of 5. The Blues have lost three games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with the Bulls as dominant favourites.
The Blues have won four of their past five games as home favourites for a profit, but they are a very poor against the line in this scenario. The Bulls recorded their first win of the season over the Sunwolves last weekend, but they were far from impressive and they really have made a slow start to the season.
They have not won a game as away underdogs in the past 12 months and their record against the line is just as bad.
Both these teams are tough to trust from a betting standpoint and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash. This is one of the most interesting games of the round and it is the Highlanders that will go into this clash as narrow favourites.
The Highlanders have been handed an extremely tough draw to start the season and that definitely took its toll when they suffered a heavy defeat at the hands of the Hurricanes last weekend. Winning away from home has not been an issue for the Highlanders and they have won four of their past six games as away favourites, while they are against the line in this scenario. Many experts were quick to write off the Brumbies at the start of the season, but they have indicated they may still be the best team in the Australian Conference with wins over the Force and the Waratahs.
This is obviously a tougher challenge and their form at GIO Stadium does not inspire a great deal of confidence — they have won only five of their past nine games at home and were beaten by the Highlanders at GIO Stadium last season.
An Australian Super Rugby side is yet to beat a team from New Zealand this season and that looks unlikely to change this weekend. The Stormers head to Singapore for a clash with the Sunwolves and they are the shortest-priced favourites in Super Rugby this weekend. The Stormers have made a flawless start to their Super Rugby season and they really should be able to make it four wins from as many starts. They have won three of their past five games as home favourites for a narrow loss, but they are against the line in this scenario.
The Sunwolves are yet to win a game in Super Rugby this season, but outside of their opening round humiliation at the hands of the Hurricanes they have been far from disgraced.
They have won one of their past six games as home underdogs for a big profit, but they are a tough side to trust from a betting standpoint. They returned to winning form with a dominant effort against the Reds and there is nothing to suggest that they will have any problems against the Kings this weekend.
The Lions won both their games as away favourites last season, but were unconvincing against the line in this scenario. The Kings were excellent against the Sharks last weekend and even though they failed to come away with the win they will still take plenty of confidence from that performances.
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium has not been a happy hunting ground for the Kings and they have won just one of their past seven games as home underdogs, while they are against the line. The Lions really should prove too strong for the Kings and it would not surprise to see them put up a big score.
The Cheetahs have the home-ground advantage, but it is the Sharks that will go into this clash as clear favourites. The Sharks have not set the world on fire this season and they got out of jail against the Kings, but they have still won three games on the trot.
This will be the first time in 12 months that the Sharks have started an away game as favourites, but they have been a winning proposition away from home over the past 12 months. The Cheetahs made a promising start to the season, but they took a step backwards with a poor performance against the Jaguares last weekend.
They are a side that struggle to beat teams above them on the Super Rugby ladder and they have won just one of their past ten games as underdogs. The Jaguares have made a strong start to the Super Rugby season and they go into this clash with the Reds as clear favourites.
The Jaguares stamped themselves as serious contenders in the South African Conference with their win over the Lions and they proved that was no fluke with a big win over the Cheetahs. They have now won five of their past six games as home favourites and they are against the line in this scenario.
The Reds were no match for the Lions last weekend and they go into this clash without both James Slipper and Quade Cooper. Their form away from home has been truly putrid and they have not won a game on the road for well over a season, while they are against the line in this scenario. The line has been set at The Hurricanes are extremely short favourites and the only bet of interest will be at the line, with the Wellington-based franchise only against the line as home favourites in the past 12 months.
Games involving the Kings have been very tricky from a betting perspective this season I am more than happy to stay out of this game. This is another game with a very short favourite as the Chiefs are expected to be far too good for the Force following their upset win over the Jaguares last weekend. The Chiefs have been a losing betting proposition as favourites in the past 12 months and they are an extremely poor against the line as home favourites.
The Force were very poor against the Hurricanes last weekend and they are a middling against the line as underdogs, but that record improves to as away underdogs. I normally like to stick with the data, but from a rugby perspective the line of The Rebels produced their best performance of the season to date to beat the Sunwolves comfortably last weekend, while the Highlanders survived a second-half comeback from the Waratahs to record their third straight win.
The Highlanders have been one of the best betting teams in Super Rugby in the past 12 months and they have beaten the line on eight occasions as favourites in the past 11 games, which includes a record as away favourites. The Rebels are against the line in the past 12 months and that record improves to in games where they are underdogs.
In saying that, the line of 4. The Sunwolves are still chasing their first ever Super Rugby victory and they head into this clash with the Bulls on the back of their worst performance yet. The Bulls played out a nail-biting draw with the Sharks last weekend and they are clear favourites to return winning form against the Japanese side on Saturday night.
The Bulls have really struggled in games away from home in the past 12 months and they have won just won game in their past eight away from home, while they are as favourites against the line. I am hopeful that the Sunwolves can bounce back this weekend give the Bulls, who have struggled to score points this season to date, a challenge.
The Cheetahs are a team who has shown moments of brilliance but fails to consistently play well. While the Cheetahs are very tempting at 4. With that being said, the Stormers at 1. The handicap is set at 9. The Cheetahs are coming off a close loss against the Sharks, and it is often after a loss that the unpredictable Cheetahs are at their most dangerous.
Rather put your money in your back pocket for this one and move on. Things are tight in the Africa2 conference, and considering 2nd placed Jaguares are on a bye for round 6, the Sharks can jump to the top of the conference past their 1st placed opponents. Thus, there will certainly be no lack of motivation for this match. The Lions have lost only a single match until now, against the Jaguares, away from home.
Yes, we are expecting home field advantage to play a huge role here. The bookmakers are pretty much spot on with this one. As can be seen from image below, the Lions are 1. We will make our wager as close to kickoff time as possible since we feel that the spread is a little too high and we are hoping it will drop to Let us say straight up we are expecting the Lions to win and cover the spread in this round 6 fixture, here is why:. With all things considered it is the Lions who are playing a style of rugby which all other South African franchises are still trying to perfect.
Combine that with the fact that the Lions are simply a better team than the Sharks and having home field advantage, we are expecting a Lions put at least points past the Sharks. Do you agree with our predictions?