Betting Odds

Futures While moneylines, point spreads, and totals generally focus on the short term and specific matches, futures are long-term betting odds. Well done Can for staying well away. Whatever an oddsmaker can imagine can become an interesting prop bet. Welcome to Reddit,

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Untitled-2 Back to national overview Who will win Kentucky? Untitled-2 Back to national overview Who will win Alabama? Untitled-2 Back to national overview Who will win D. Untitled-2 Back to national overview Who will win Oklahoma? Untitled-2 Back to national overview National polls.

From polls to an adjusted average. Untitled-2 Back to national overview Updates. Electoral College deadlock no candidate gets electoral votes. Recount at least one decisive state within 0. But we will see. Mate did you forget nobody cares about the Confederations Cup? You know, the same tournament that has seen teams like Mexico and the US make the final? They're not fans of Senegal then.

They give them worse odds to get out of their group than Japan. Probably because their attack rating is really low - I've read complaints in previews that Senegal's manager is far too defensive given the attacking talent at his disposal, maybe the algorithm is picking that up.

You watch your mouth. I don't know why but i swear every tournament everyone under estimates the Germans, am I the only one who can't see past them.

Eh, Germany were definitely considered one of the top favourites for Euro , and we know how that ended up. I think Germany is better than they were in and they are my joint favourites with Brazil, and I wouldn't call Germany underestimated.

Pretty much every article I've read about the WC favourites mentions Germany as a top contender. Yes that is incredibly good to be winning practically every decade or so England can only dream , but still I think recency bias is playing a factor in every pundits "Germany will win" prediction. We saw how it was in the Euros with Germany and also have the example of how Spain in collapsed after the domination of the Euros and World cup preceding it, there are so many good teams and any of them can fuck up with a single loss or draw being so vital.

TBH I'm just being a pussy in my prediction and saying any of Spain, Germany, Brazil, France can win it with equal probability and I can't really pick a favourite. Tbh I think the only reasonable prediction anyone should be making is that one of those four teams will win it. They're not actually predictions, despite the name. They're projections, and I think they're usually pretty good.

Of course they don't get every thing right, but I've yet to see forecasts that get significantly better results. Do you have evidence of that? Because I think they were the most reliable in a lot of their political predictions and a lot of other stuff like that.

At the start of knockout tournaments any model like this is never going to be exceptional. Most pre wc predictions take no account of the costa ricas or ghanas or the spain not getting out of the group that happen every tournament essentially. There will always be a shock yet most predictions I see are the same all the time.

That's why these are probabilities, not absolute predictions. For example, they still give Australia a 1 in 5 chance of making it out of its group. Of course not because why should any model realistically predict that? Also regarding leicester while no one did predict it they were one of the most in form teams at the backend of the season before they won the title.

It wasn't out of place to predict they would have a good season. You shouldn't predict a flop or a dark horse just for the sake of it just because it happens at most tournaments. You should base the teams on their individual merits. But when doing your individual predictions of each game, you shouldn't randomly bet on the lower league team to win just to fill a quota. Just like in the moneyline bet, the negative sign before the number indicates who is expected to win.

The number represents the expected margin of victory. That means they need to win the game by 23 points or more. If you bet on Team A, that means they can lose by 22 points or less, or win the game, and you still win your bet. If, during the actual game, the margin of victory lands exactly on the spread, it is called a push or a tie, and no one wins the bet. In this event, you would simply get your money back.

In order to avoid these sorts of ties, betting sites such as BetOnline or Bookmaker , only to mention a couple of sportsbooks will often set the spread at half numbers, such as This way, there will always be a winner in the bet.

Point spreads will also have moneyline odds attached. Just like in a moneyline bet, this number indicates what the payout will be in the case of a win. For example, the spread and odds for Team B might be This means that Team B is favored to win by more than That means that you are looking at whether the combined score of both sides will go over or under a set number.

For example, the sportsbook might set the total at 66 for a college football game. This means that they predict that the two teams will score a combined total of 66 points.

You will then place a wager on whether the actual combined score will be over or under that amount. If you think that one or both teams has a particularly strong offense and it will be a high-scoring affair, you would bet over. If you think it will be a defensive struggle, ending in very low scores on both or either side, then you would bet under. If the final score is something like , then the combined score would be 84, meaning the game is an over.

If the final score is something like , making the combined score 65, then it is an under. Sometimes, the combined scores will land right on the total.