Rory McIlroy - Ohio a happy hunting ground
Harman is priced as an outsider this week because of a lack of Open form but finished a respectable 26th on his debut at Hoylake.
Accurate with a great touch around the greens, he'll like some aspects of this test and is hopefully learning the wider arts of links golf. Back Zach Johnson for a Top 20 Finish 5u [3. One American with a similar skills set who has long mastered those arts is the champion. Zach has made his last 11 Open cuts, including seven top finishes. Back Rickie Fowler for a Top 10 Finish 5u [3. As always the top of the market is stacked with world-class characters, holding unarguably strong claims.
If I had to pick one, it would be Fowler, although his terrible conversion ratio rather deters an outright bet. A top-ten finish - earned last week on a links and on three of his last five major appearances - appeals much more.
Back Henrik Stenson for a Top 5 Finish 2u [7. As explained in our each-way column , I find it very hard to see Stenson being far away on Sunday. His ultra-accurate long game should ensure he's regularly picking up shots on the field and, with a quartet of top-three finishes and the Open scoring record to his name, few if any could claim to be better suited to the links challenge. Follow Paul on Twitter paulmotty.
OK, I get it. Ian Poulter is tipped to secure another high finish. Join today View market. Discover the latest articles The Punter's De-Brief: Noren value to win from off the pace again Open Championship Outright update plus a quintet of two-ball bets for the final round. Read past articles Open Championship Tips: Additionally, there is often a big favourite — more often than not, Rory McIlroy. This generally leaves the field open for betting interpretation.
Looking at a golfing line-up for a big championship, it is likely that your eyes will initially veer towards the familiar names of Rory McIlroy, Phil Mickelson and the like. However, it is frequently the slightly less talked-about players that emerge from the pack and challenge for the big events — just look at Jordan Spieth and Billy Horschel as examples from the past few years.
Perhaps the most difficult task, however, is trying to asses which golfer is backing himself — i. The intricacies and eccentricities of golf mean that players go in and out of form constantly; indeed, a player could be out of form for two years and then go and win the Masters. However, there are concrete signs to watch out for.
The fluctuations in golf betting markets can often provide a big clue. If a player who has been off-form is fancied in the market, then clearly there is confidence behind him.
As well as this, you must watch out for recent tournaments because, as with most sports, recent form is always a decent yardstick with which to measure potential success. Although as discussed, players do not necessarily need to have excelled prior to a tournament to perform well.
It is therefore a good idea to look at the different courses that respective golfers perform well on. J Choi, and Phil Mickelson, for whom Augusta holds no fears. Other variables to look out for include weather conditions, the ability to handle pressure and the intruding effects of any niggling injuries. Perhaps the most important thing to remember when betting on golf is not simply to back the favourite.